American League MVP Award

Baseball’s Most Valuable Player

The Major League Baseball (MLB) Most Valuable Player Award (MVP) is an annual award given to the most “outstanding” player in the American and National Leagues. Since 1931, the award has been voted on by the Baseball Writers Association of America(BBWAA).  The BBWAA has two writers in each league city that are eligible to vote. The BBWAA does not have a clear-cut definition of what “most valuable” means. As a result, voting is based on the personal judgment of the individual voters. There are a few generic rules that were drafted in 1931 for determining the winner of the MVP award.  The BBWAA (Baseball Writer’s Association of America) rules: (1) Actual value of a player to his team, that is, strength of offense and defense; (2) Number of games played; (3) General character, disposition, loyalty and effort; (4) Former winners are eligible; and (5) Members of the committee may vote for more than one member of a team. Like I said, these rules are pretty vague and the voting is totally subjective. There isn’t anything here that would indicate

Lefty Grove, Philadelphia Athletics

that a pitcher isn’t eligible. The precedent has already been established. Since 1931 20 pitchers have won the MVP award. Since the inception of the Cy Young Award in 1956, only nine pitchers have

Dennis Eckersley

won an MVP and Cy Young award in the same year. The last pitcher to accomplish this was Dennis Eckersley of the Oakland Athletics in 1992. From 1956 through 1966, only one Cy Young Award was given for all of major league baseball. In 1967, two Cy Young Awards became the norm, one for each league. My feeling is that an everyday player having an exceptional year has more impact on his team’s success than a pitcher appearing in 35-40 games. Having said that, I also believe a pitcher can have such an outstanding year that he too could be his team’s most valuable player. To take it a step further, I don’t think that if a pitcher should win the MVP that he is automatically the Cy Young winner. I guess that is why over the past 55 years only nine pitchers total from both leagues have been both their league’s best pitcher and it’s most valuable player in the same year. “Best” and “Most Valuable” are two different evaluations. They aren’t mutually exclusive because it is possible, although unlikely, to be both. For example, Felix Hernandez, last year’s Cy Young winner as the “best” pitcher, finished 16th in the “most valuable” player voting. That doesn’t sit well with the voters who believe it’s impossible to be considered “most valuable” when  you’re playing

Justin Verlander

once every five days, on average, as a starting pitcher.

Is Justin Verlander More Valuable?

However, in 2011, there is Detroit Tiger‘s right-hander Justin Verlander, probably the best pitcher in the league, and possibly the most valuable player. Verlander is 22-5 for the Tigers, who lead the American League Central by 8 1/2 games over the Chicago White Sox. He has a 2.44 ERA, four complete games and two shutouts. Verlander averages about 7 innings per start, which means the guys in the Tigers’ bullpen, can get some rest on the days he pitches. However, let’s not forget that Detroit, lead by Miguel Cabrera, has a pretty good offensive team, ranking 4th in the American League in runs scored. Baseball statistics now include sabermetrics, which is the equivalent of “new math”. Two of these new statistical measurements related to a pitcher are WHIP and ERA+. Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched (WHIP) is the measurement of the number of base runners a pitcher has allowed per inning pitched. It measures a pitcher’s ability to prevent batters from reaching base. A pitcher with a WHIP of 1.0 or smaller over the course of a season will usually be among the league leaders. Currently Justin Verlander’s WHIP is 1.163. Verlander’s ERA+ (ERA adjusted to his league and ballpark) is 166, which is slightly lower than Josh Beckett’s 168. Pedro Martinez, who is no longer active, had an ERA+ of 202 or higher in five different seasons. In 2000, Martinez had an ERA+ of 291, second highest in baseball history. He didn’t win MVP in any of those years. Last year’s American League Cy Young winner Felix Hernandez had an ERA+ of 174. With four or five more starts to go, should Verlander win at least three more games and reach the 25 win plateau things could get enough more interesting. Only three other pitchers in the five-man rotation era have won 25 games. They are Bob Welch (1990 Athletics) 27-6, ERA 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.22, Ron Guidry (1978 Yankees) 25-3, ERA 1.74 and a WHIP of .946  and Tom Seaver (1969 Mets) 25-7, ERA 2.21 and a WHIP of 1.04. However, none of them won the MVP in those respective seasons. Seaver finished second to Willie McCovey in the 1969 MVP voting. Guidry finished second to Jim Rice in the 1978 MVP voting. Welch finished ninth (4 other pitchers ahead of him) in the 1990 MVP voting, with Rickey Henderson winning the award. So, even 25+ wins doesn’t guarantee a pitcher the MVP award. Verlander has some strong competition. I think there are six everyday players that are having good enough seasons that they qualify as MVP candidates. This should be one of the most interesting chases for postseason awards in the big leagues.

A Case for the Every Day Player

Verlander  has to be the leading candidate for the 2011 American League Cy Young Award, but do his numbers out shine these everyday players?

Miguel Cabrera

Player Average HRs RBI Runs Scored OBP SLG % OPS
Miguel Cabrera .329 26 95 97 .432 .555 .987
Curtis Granderson .265 39 111 127 .368 .564 .932
Robinson Cano .301 25 106 94 .343 .525 .868
Jose Bautista .305 41 98 98 .443 .627 1.07
Adrian Gonzalez .339 25 108 101 .406 .555 .961
Jacoby Ellsbury .317 26 91 104 .376 .533 .909

(through 9-11-11)

You could easily make a case for each of these players. The only one that probably has a lesser probability of winning is Jose Bautista because he isn’t playing on a contender. Adrian Gonzalez and Jacoby Ellsbury may split the vote and reduce their chances. Curtis Granderson is currently in a downward spiral, but still

Curtis Granderson

has a chance to snap out of it and finish strong. Bottom line for me is if I had a vote, I would wait another three weeks and see where everything stands after the 162 games have been played. It’s definitely going to be interesting.

 

The Umps Get it Wrong Again

The day I post my third chapter documenting why baseball needs to expand the use of instant replay I watch the Yankees/Royals game where there was a disputed home run call that turned out to be game changing. This is yet another

In this view from directly above the outfield fence, the padded upper rail is shown at the right of the photo. Directly to the left of the rail is the 9-inch thick padding that covers the main wall, which essentially creates a small ledge. Billy Butler's drive struck a spot on that ledge. Marc Carig/The Star-Ledger

example of why baseball needs to implement instant replay and I emphasize instant.  

Kansas City Royal Billy Butler hit a fly ball to left that bounced off the top of the wall back onto the field. The umpires call it a home run. Yankee manager Joe Giradi comes onto the field (tic toc) and asks the umpires to review the call. The umpires

Joe Giradi tries to understand how a ball that doesn't leave the park is ruled a home run

grant the request and three of them walk off the field (tic toc) into a room under the stadium. Time passes (tic toc) while the players and fans wait for the three umpires to return to the field.

Various replays showed that the ball hit a barrier at the top of the wall and bounced back onto the field. It was as clear as could be that the ball did not go over the barrier, which the grounds rules call for to make it a home run. Finally, the triumphant returns to the field and reviewing the play and upheld the original call. The camera shows Butler in the Royals dugout as he notices the umpires coming back and reaches for his batting helmet because he knows he hasn’t hit a home run. When he sees the home run signal he makes a face that says okay if you want to give me a home run, I’ll take it.

Five Minutes!, Are You Kidding Me

Rivera can't believe the umpires upheld the home run call

Giradi comes back onto the field (tic toc) to argue the call. Mariano Rivera, the epitome of cool and collected  had to be physically restrained from going on the field because he has been watching the replay in the club house and knows it wasn’t a home run. Giradi’s appeal is denied and play resumes…five minutes later!

Interviews with Frank White, former Royal great and current announcer and an unidentified Royal executive both concurred that the hit was not a home run. So under the current version of baseball’s replay, it took the umpires five minutes to blow another call. By the way, the Yankees lost by one run.

This is just one play in one game, but these game changing blown calls happen on a daily basis. How much longer will Major League Baseball continue to ignore this disgraceful performance by its

Instant Replay falls on deaf ears

umpires? Bud Selig are you listening?

 

The Beginning of Instant Replay 

First Unofficial MLB Replay

In a game on May 31, 1999, involving the St. Louis Cardinals and Florida Marlins, a hit by Cliff Floyd of the Marlins was initially ruled a double, then a home run, then was changed back to a double when umpire Frank Pulli decided to review video of the play. The Marlins protested that video replay was not allowed, but while the National League office agreed that replay was not to be used in future games, it declined the protest on the grounds it was a judgment call, and the play stood.

Major League Baseball (MLB) officially introduced instant replay on August 28, 2008, the last of the four major North American sports leagues to use instant replay, mostly over the objections of baseball purists who believe that replays break the longstanding tradition of putting each game’s fate in the hands of the umpires on the field. Others object to replays lengthening an already long game.

Are Baseball Games Too Long?

During the 2000 season, the average length of a major league game was 2 hours and 58 minutes, according to MLB.com. The length of the average MLB game has come down slightly over the past decade. It was 2 hours and 54 minutes 2001; 2 hours and 52 minutes in in 2002 and 2 hours and 46 minutes in 2003. The figures continued to stay close to that through the 2006 season. However, in 2007, the average length of the game increased to 2 hours and 51 minutes, and it has not been below 2 hours and 50 minutes through the 2010 season. Okay, so a game today is 6-8 minutes faster than it was 11 years ago. Has anyone noticed?

The primary focus needs to be not on how long games last but rather on eliminating “dead time” between the action on the field.  I saw a statistic where someone had calculated the actual time there was action in nine inning game and it was between 12-14

Nomar Adjusting Gloves

minutes. Ironically, it is about the same for a football game, however, in baseball the ball is almost always in play. The average NFL game is around 3 hours 10 minutes long and 3 hours and 21 minutes for a college football game. Is anyone complaining that football games take too long?

MLB officials thought that 2:58 was too long and told the umpires to speed things up. Umpires were supposed to not grant time when batters wanted to step out of the batter’s box without a good reason (how does an umpire know what the reason is?) and demand that pitchers throw the ball in more rapid succession. How many times have you seen these enforced? I would also suggest that you can shorten games by having hitters stay in the batter’s box between pitches. It might cut 5-10 minutes out of a game. How many times do you have to adjust your batting gloves?  Also, limit the number of times a catcher can go to the mound in an inning.

The Official Beginning of Restricted Replay

A restricted use of instant replay review was introduced into MLB for reviewing disputed home run calls – whether they are fair or foul, in or out of the ballpark, or if fan interference was involved. MLB doesn’t seem to be able to implement any type of change correctly. For instance, in the current limited use of instant replay there is no need to have four umpires leave the field

Umpires returning to the playing field after reviewing a disputed home run call

and walk into a dark room to review the play, which can take anywhere from 2-4 minutes. By having a replay official up in the booth close plays can be reviewed and the umpiring crew notified within seconds of what the correct call is. There’s no need to waste everyone’s time waiting for the umpiring crew to come back onto the field.

Everyday we see examples of blown calls. The following is an example of what happens without replay.

Red Sox vs. Mariners – August 13, 2011 – With Jacoby Ellsbury on third, Dustin Pedroia hit a fly ball to right field. Ichiro threw a one-hop strike to catcher Josh Bard. Ellsbury slammed his left knee into Bard’s headgear and was initially called safe by home umpire Mark Ripperger. The Seattle Mariners argued the call saying the runner was out.

Ripperger, keeping his eye primarily on Bard’s empty glove, believed Bard had lost control of the ball during the collision. To his credit, he

He's safe, no he's out

conferred with the other umpires and changed the call to an out. Then as expected, Red Sox manager Terry Francona argued fiercely and was ejected.

Ichiro made a great throw. It’s my job to catch the ball and make the tag. That’s all I did.” Bard said.

Francona said he was simply upset that Ripperger didn’t just explain the situation to him initially. He said he expected to get tossed. “It’s a run off the board,” he added, “but that’s the way the game goes.

That’s right Terry; that is the way the game goes. Minutes wasted while two managers argue and four umpires discuss the call. How long did that take? With instant replay, the correct call would have been made in seconds and Francona wouldn’t have been tossed. Continue reading »

 

The Opponents

You're Out!

There are two primary arguments against replay. One is that it would take the human element out of the game and opponents say that baseball games take too long now and instant replay would only extend the length of a ball game.  I think these arguments are not only wrong, but ridiculous.

One of the great things about baseball that separates it from the other three major sports is that there is no clock. So my question is how long is too long? I’m not suggesting that there aren’t things that can be done to speed up the game. Instant replay, implemented corrected would help speed up the game.

Baseball traditionalists will argue that this is how the game has always been played, the “This is the way it’s always been done” argument. The most damaging phrase in the English language is: ‘It’s always been done that way.’ - Grace Murray Hopper

Just because something has always been done a certain way, that’s no reason to keep doing it the same way, unless of course the method has no room for improvement. In baseball’s case there is plenty of room for improvement. Mistakes have been and will continue to be made on the field by umpires under the current process.  Humans are incapable of making correct calls with 100% accuracy, and until recently, we didn’t have the technology that would allow us to improve the accuracy of these calls.

Why should pitchers and hitters have to adjust to the “strike zone of the night”? Why do the “good” hitters and pitchers get the benefit of the doubt on calls? If you don’t think umpires favor the better pitchers then explain why Greg Maddux had a 1.63 Earned Run Average (ERA) in 11 starts where John Hirschbeck was behind the plate. Compare that to Maddux’s lifetime ERA of 3.16. Hirschbeck was warned by MLB in 2002, claiming that he had “a high percentage of missed calls of balls and strikes”.

I watch this “crap” every day. During a recent Yankees – Angeles game home plate umpire Chris Guccione called Derek Jeter out on strikes. Jeter who rarely argues had words with Guccione. Replay showed that the pitch was nowhere near the strike zone, the one where the ball is supposed cross some portion of the plate. This total disregard of the rules by the people (umpires) who are supposed to be enforcing them is reprehensible. But this is how Bud Selig and his narrow minded cronies think this is the way the game should continue to be played.

Baseball has already admitted that replay has value by using instant replay on home run calls. Why not add instant replay to the rest of the game?  Forget how the game was played for a hundred years before we had computers and all of the modern technology that gives us the capabilities to add accuracy to the game.

This isn’t 1911, it’s 2011 and we have the computer technology to call balls and strikes and for replay from multiple angles to avoid botched

Did you see it, no did you, I'm not sure....

calls.  Baseball has no valid reason to avoid this technology. Having the replay umpire manage game calls defeats the greatest argument or concern regarding the use of instant replay. The weakest argument with the least merit is that there always has been a human element in the officiating and there always should be.

Implementing today’s technology would change the role of the MLB umpire. Although it’s tempting, I’m not suggesting we eliminate umpires.  Balls and strikes can be instantly called by cameras, and with much better accuracy (within 1/2 inch). This would eliminate the personal interpretation of the strike zone by each umpire.  You obviously need someone making the calls on the field, but close plays can’t be judged with the proper accuracy by one person making a split second decision.

The Human Element

The idea that instant replay would impact the human element is one of the lamest arguments that there is. Humans will still play the game, coach the game and sit in the stands. And yes Virginia; human umpires will still monitor and manage a game, but with the help of modern technology to ensure there are no further disasters. This implication that the game will become robotic just because plays will be reviewed (by humans I might add) is stupid. The human element is part of the game. The problem is humans aren’t perfect, and are prone to errors.  However, it’s one thing for a team to make an error that might cost them the game.  It’s another thing for an umpire to make an error that costs a team a game.  The goal of umpiring is to oversee the game, and make sure the correct calls are made.  That doesn’t always happen as it should, and it’s because of the human element.  So basically, the only advantage to the human element is that it allows us to have more bad calls.

This says it all

The solution is so simple, but most likely will never be implemented under the current regime. Longtime opponent MLB Commissioner Bud Selig said he would consider it. Selig acknowledged as much in his statement about not reversing Jim Joyce’s bad call. “While the human element has always been an integral part of baseball, it is vital that mistakes on the field be addressed,” Selig said. “Given last night’s call and other recent events, I will examine our umpiring system, the expanded use of instant replay and all other related features.”

The Jim Joyce/Galarraga call in 2010 was so bad I had false hope that is would finally spur MLB to take a serious look at expanding the use of instant replay. That was almost a year ago and nothing has changed.

I was further disillusioned when Joe Torre, MLB’s executive vice president for baseball operations, who is still not in favor of expanding replay dismissed calls for expanded replay in baseball. “Having been the beneficiary of calls like this and having been on the other end in my experience as a player and as a manager, I have felt that this has always been a part of our game” Torre said in his statement. “As a member of the Commissioner’s Special Committee for On-Field Matters, I have heard many discussions on umpiring and technology over the past two years, including both the pros and the cons of expanding replay. However, most in the game recognize that the human element always will be part of baseball and instant replay can never replace all judgment calls by umpires. Obviously, a play like this is going to spark a lot of conversation, and we will continue to consider all viewpoints in our ongoing discussions regarding officiating in baseball.” Translation – Umpires have always been blowing calls and there is no reason to change anything, because that’s the way we have always done it.

Here are some examples of how the human element impacts a game.

How many times have you seen a catcher, catch the pitch outside the strike zone, and then move his glove back into the strike zone where the call is made based on where the catcher’s glove is after the move. Apparently, umpires are blind and can’t see the catcher moving his glove.

Something that has bothered me for a long time and would hopefully be eliminated. A player isn’t allowed to do anything that would show-up an umpire. So why are umpires allowed to show-up players. I’m specifically referring to the way umpires make a third strike call. Some of these antics are ridiculous and demeaning to the player.

Not only are umpires missing calls, they have gotten lazy. For example, why is there a second base when it doesn’t matter whether the

Baseball's neighborhood play

second baseman or shortstop actually touch it when they have possession of the ball. As long as they are in the “neighborhood” that is good enough for the umpires. I actually saw a game where an umpire called a runner safe because the fielder didn’t touch second base while having possession of the ball. The TV announcers were incredulous; they couldn’t understand why he would make such a call.

Other than the umpires, who wouldn’t want the best judging possible, judging done by humans incorporating the best technology available to them instead of merely trusting their own reflexes and recall? The answer is the Commissioner’s office.

Why shouldn’t umpires have the same resources available to them that fans have? This would eliminate players and managers arguing with umpires over botched calls.

Bottom line: If the technology exists to dramatically enhance the umpiring of a baseball game, why isn’t baseball employing it?

The Time Element

Instant – an infinitesimal space of time. I believe that means fast.

The opponents who claim that instant replay slows down the game are either technology bigots or they are closed minded to the suggestion of change. Adding instant replay would not lengthen games, but instead it would in practice shorten them by eliminating the automatic arguing between the manager and umpire on questionable calls that will never be changed. How much time is wasted during an argument over a call? Depending on the manager, it could take minutes. Using instant replay to get the call right and eliminate the arguing would take seconds. The replay ump in the booth can call balls and strikes and reverse on-field calls in seconds, and he can do so with the best possibility for an accurate call.

Beckett on the Mound

During a recent Yankees/Red Sox game ESPN analyst Bobby Valentin pointed out that Boston starter Josh Beckett, among the most unhurried pitchers in baseball averages 40.3 seconds between pitches when there’s a runner on base, and 25 seconds with the bases empty (FanGraphs.com). Major League Baseball rules require a pitcher to take no more than 12 seconds between pitches when the bases are empty. I watch a lot of baseball and I’ve never seen the 12-second limit enforced and I probably never will.

During the sixth inning, Valentine said: “That’s a half-hour added to this game of him standing around and us sitting around watching him do nothing.”

There is no question that the length of baseball games has increased over the past 40 years. During the 1970s games averaged around  2:30. However, during the past decade the average game time increased to 2:52.

These are some of the reasons why the games are taking longer:

1. The use of situational relievers starting as early as the sixth inning

2. Cut down on the number of pitcher/catcher conferences

3. Stop batters from stepping out of the batters box, adjusting their gloves after every pitch

4. Enforce the time limit rule for pitchers

However, I think you have to enforce number 3 before you can expect a pitcher to pitch in 12 seconds.

Number one isn’t really a candidate for speeding up the game, its just the way the game is played. Numbers 2, 3, 4 are definite candidates for speeding up the game. Make these improvements along with implementing instant replay and watch the game times come down.

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